Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.539061 3.759896 3.996572 4.270738 4.581727 4.926155 5.340223
2025-05-11 3.263362 3.567709 3.912388 4.337507 4.856423 5.481655 6.312907
2025-05-18 3.016325 3.369077 3.785828 4.326467 5.028995 5.943155 7.286611
2025-05-25 2.760628 3.130128 3.580033 4.185932 5.012422 6.158144 7.999038
2025-06-01 2.586488 2.972323 3.455146 4.128544 5.091542 6.516026 9.042783
2025-06-08 2.449045 2.847307 3.357795 4.092640 5.191087 6.923509 10.340888
2025-06-15 2.351635 2.764711 3.306666 4.111767 5.371566 7.502350 12.276319
2025-06-22 2.229953 2.640839 3.188279 4.019007 5.361006 7.749905 13.678055
2025-06-29 2.107462 2.508118 3.047554 3.878258 5.250793 7.787251 14.609572
2025-07-06 2.016816 2.413229 2.953143 3.798323 5.230988 7.997519 16.235849
2025-07-13 1.995313 2.411048 2.989385 3.922897 5.585321 9.095333 22.340937
2025-07-20 1.957432 2.383315 2.985654 3.982046 5.830564 10.055036 30.663263
2025-07-27 1.927768 2.370890 3.011611 4.107652 6.262927 11.827298 58.778168
2025-08-03 1.880351 2.330509 2.992680 4.156101 6.557319 13.486056 158.510051
2025-08-10 1.821320 2.270068 2.938535 4.136723 6.704030 14.836919 20710.002206
2025-08-17 1.742361 2.176551 2.826621 4.001357 6.557917 14.995588 NaN
2025-08-24 1.685756 2.113826 2.760241 3.944667 6.592741 16.006470 NaN
2025-08-31 1.637737 2.061743 2.707792 3.909077 6.674552 17.388206 NaN
2025-09-07 1.603211 2.028336 2.683489 3.924894 6.895012 19.910830 NaN
2025-09-14 1.552129 1.967570 2.610690 3.838550 6.823037 20.631928 NaN
2025-09-21 1.496134 1.897406 2.519208 3.708351 6.608911 20.197217 NaN
2025-09-28 1.453539 1.846470 2.457694 3.634230 6.543841 20.872299 NaN
2025-10-05 1.446806 1.850358 2.487979 3.748591 7.053276 27.687088 NaN